Climate summit forced to confront inconvenient truths

Movement to reduce global emissions toward net-zero is still too slow

Climate summit forced to confront inconvenient truthsWith the United Nations climate summit in Glasgow scheduled to open on Oct. 31, global powerhouses are coming up with their annual energy outlooks earlier than the customary November. With climate issues coming to the forefront at the COP26 summit, most of these reports and analyses are meant to help world leaders make decisions. But…

What happens to climate talks in the face of rising oil prices?

Decision to open the taps and let the markets surge comes just before UN Climate Change Conference

What happens to climate talks in the face of rising oil prices?Rapid moves with long-term ramifications are being made on the global energy chessboard. Early last week, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies in OPEC+ opted to stick to their original plan and gradually open the crude oil taps. After their Oct. 4 ministerial meeting, OPEC+ said it had “reconfirmed the production adjustment…

Crude oil prices are soaring as production slows

A global energy crunch could help propel prices above US$100 a barrel

Crude oil prices are soaring as production slowsAll eyes are focused on the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies in OPEC+ as they meet today. With crude oil prices touching US$80 a barrel and prospects of hitting US$100 this winter looming large, markets are on edge. The market trajectory is virtually impossible to delineate. A global energy crunch could help…

China, United States move to stabilize crude oil markets

If OPEC forecast turns out to be correct, oil prices could go much higher

China, United States move to stabilize crude oil marketsA strong message is being sent to major global oil capitals: it’s time to cool down the markets. By urging the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies in OPEC+ to open taps – and endeavouring to impact the markets by selling crude oil from strategic reserves – the world’s major oil consumers are…

Dampening Asian demand cools crude oil prices

New restrictions to fight the Delta variant will slow demand growth in the second half of 2021

Dampening Asian demand cools crude oil pricesInteresting moves are being made on the global energy chessboard. In an unexpected move, Saudi Arabia announced it would slash its official selling prices (OSPs) for oil exports to Asia in October. The price cut was more than expected. Saudi Aramco, the state-controlled oil giant, said in a statement on Sept. 5 that the official…

Blowing in a fierce wind: Why crude oil prices are declining

Non-fundamental factors appear to be controlling crude oil market patterns

Blowing in a fierce wind: Why crude oil prices are decliningA number of major events weighed on global oil markets throughout last week. Those factors included: Hurricane Ida; the United States Federal Reserve delaying the tapering off of its economic stimulus; the decision of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies in OPEC+ to stick to their original output increments; the rising…

Delta variant hammering crude oil prices

Asia’s market is softening

Delta variant hammering crude oil pricesThe crude oil rally is stuttering. Having ceded some 15 per cent in prices in recent months, the rally we saw earlier this year has lost steam. Despite talk of growing demand, tightening markets, galloping prices and the call by U.S. President Joe Biden to the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies in…

Chinese demand drives world oil markets

Global markets’ overdependence on China backfires as COVID resurgence forces travel restrictions

Chinese demand drives world oil marketsChina has been the sole driver of the global crude oil markets for years. Its growing crude thirst has, time and again, pulled the markets up. Last year, while crude markets were touching the ebb, even going into negative territory, “Chinese buyers dragged oil prices out of the doldrums single-handedly as they stocked up on…

Rushing to cash in on oil as global demand drops

Oil producers are facing a structural transformation in the market

Rushing to cash in on oil as global demand dropsThe global crude oil market is undergoing a structural transformation. In its recent Monthly Energy Review, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) pointed out a sharp decline in United States energy intensity – the energy consumption per unit of gross domestic product (GDP). In crude oil terms, the contribution of each unit of energy to…

With Iranian nuclear deal uncertain, crude oil prices rise

The summer driving season is upon us and Americans are hitting the road in much larger numbers than a year ago

With Iranian nuclear deal uncertain, crude oil prices riseCrude oil markets face an interesting mix of influences. While the COVID-19 Delta variant continues to affect the markets, conflicting signals seem to push oil prices in the opposite direction. Reports confirm that American oil consumption is rushing back much faster from the pandemic slump than initially predicted. The summer driving season is upon us…

Crude oil markets remain unsettled

Declining Chinese demand, a rising rig count in the United States and a devastating resurgence of COVID-19 in Asia all play a role

Crude oil markets remain unsettledIt has been a fluctuating week for the oil markets. In the immediate aftermath of the agreement within the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies in OPEC+, crude prices fell by a devastating seven per cent on July 19. However, with signs of demand holding despite the spread of the Delta COVID-19 variant,…

Oil markets feel pinch from renewed COVID-19 outbreaks

All eyes are focused on Saudi Arabia. Will it continue to single-handedly maintain stability in the markets?

Oil markets feel pinch from renewed COVID-19 outbreaksUncertainty has overtaken the crude oil markets again for several reasons. Since March, crude oil markets have mostly been ascending. But prices declined last week by a greater margin than any time in the last four-plus months. And the resurgence of COVID-19 in many parts of the world is clouding the near-term future of oil.…

OPEC dispute sends oil market reeling

U.A.E. prepares for a post-oil world, endeavouring to make the best of the oil it has before demand shrinks for good

OPEC dispute sends oil market reelingCrude oil markets have left a confused picture and observers can’t decipher where prices will stabilize. In the immediate aftermath of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) fiasco last week, oil prices were on a slippery slope. OPEC+ ministers halted crude oil output talks on July 5 after the United Arab Emirates rejected a…

Saudi Arabia losing its clout within OPEC+ and the Middle East

As OPEC+ talks to increase crude oil production stall, the Saudis seem to have lost a key ally in the United Arab Emirates

Saudi Arabia losing its clout within OPEC+ and the Middle EastAdrenalin never stops flowing in the oil business. Dull moments are rare. The emerging scenario among the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies in the expanded OPEC+ is no different. The group was on the verge of finalizing a deal on Thursday to increase its crude output by two million barrels per day…

Bleak clouds over the crude oil horizon are dissipating

But much still depends on United States-Iran nuclear talks and how OPEC+ members will react to any deal

Bleak clouds over the crude oil horizon are dissipatingCrude oil markets are hot. Prices are up and the US$75 line has been breached. Chatter about oil touching US$100 is getting loud and clear. Global oil consumption is getting closer to the pre-pandemic levels. The bleak clouds hanging over the crude oil horizon are beginning to dissipate. Industry eyes are again on the Organization…

Rising demand and prices suggest an oil market resurgence

US$100 oil is a distinct possibility

Rising demand and prices suggest an oil market resurgenceThe world needs more oil. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Russia and American shale oil producers all need to up their output to keep the rising prices of the “super cycle,” as Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman called it, under control. Media reports say Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman told the Robin…

Short-term gains on the crude oil market as climate change looms

The IEA concedes rising oil demand at odds with its call to end new oil, gas and coal funding

Short-term gains on the crude oil market as climate change loomsThe International Energy Agency (IEA) is torn between two conflicting ends. On one hand, it’s grappling with climate change issues; on the other, it sees rising oil prices. For now, the two ends seem to be running parallel but not converging. Oil demand is rising fast, as are prices, reaching multi-year highs on Friday. Brent…

OPEC+, IEA clash over future of fossil fuels

IEA wants all investments in new developments to stop. Others warn that could lead to $200 a barrel oil

OPEC+, IEA clash over future of fossil fuelsThe Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies in OPEC+ are on a collision course with energy watchdog International Energy Agency (IEA) on at least two counts. Last month, the Paris-based IEA delivered the starkest warning yet on fossil fuels, saying the exploitation and development of new oil and gas fields must stop this…

Oil market shows signs of improvement but for how long?

Alternative energy and calls for the world to overcome its reliance on fossil fuels gaining currency

Oil market shows signs of improvement but for how long?The short-term prognosis for crude oil looks exciting. But that may be a mirage. The approaching summer driving season in the Northern Hemisphere and the lifting of COVID-19 restrictions have stimulated demand. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies in the expanded OPEC+ appear confident that with the accelerating vaccination programs and…

Is a new world order on the horizon for the energy sector?

The IEA lays out recommendations for what needs to happen, and when, to transform the global economy from one dominated by fossil fuels

Is a new world order on the horizon for the energy sector?The world must act quickly on climate change, says the International Energy Agency. To meet the net-zero emission targets and limit the worst impacts of climate change, a sprint is absolutely essential, says the Paris-based IEA, the energy watchdog for the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). Reaching net-zero emissions will require a huge…

Iran pulling geopolitical strings to get its oil to market

Iran orchestrated Houthis attacks on Saudi Arabia to coerce the Saudis to market its oil

Iran pulling geopolitical strings to get its oil to marketAs the result of developments in the Middle East, oil is back as a bargaining chip on the geopolitical chessboard. Once Donald Trump lost the election for a second term as American president, it became increasingly evident that the new administration led by Joe Biden would attempt to revive the 2015 nuclear deal with Iran.…

Iran’s likely return to crude oil marketplace causes ripples

Biden seems to have slackened America's tight grip on Iranian crude exports reigniting a market share battle within OPEC

Iran’s likely return to crude oil marketplace causes ripplesIran and the United States are closing in on reviving the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), commonly termed as the Iran nuclear deal. U.S. President Joe Biden is keen to strike a deal before the June presidential elections in Iran, which hardliners are projected by many to win. All this has significant bearing…

Oil producers prepare for one last profit push

But the good old days are gone

Oil producers prepare for one last profit pushA new reality is dawning: the short-term direction of oil markets is in sharp contrast to its longer-term trajectory. The short-term outlook – courtesy of the decision by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies in OPEC+ to withhold some eight million barrels per day (bpd) from the markets – and the emerging…

No major relief in sight for oil markets

Ominous clouds continue to hang over the global oil horizon

No major relief in sight for oil marketsWhere will world oil markets be in a year? With so many variables impacting the markets, no one has the crystal ball to see the crude oil price trajectory a year ahead. On April 20, 2020, panic had gripped the energy market as a frightening realization dawned on oil traders: The world was rapidly running…

Why oil-producing nations are rushing to ramp up production

Oil producers face catastrophe if countries worldwide move to limit global warming by two degrees Celsius

Why oil-producing nations are rushing to ramp up productionCrude oil demand is weak and the fundamental factors aren’t encouraging. Yet, most major oil-producing countries are moving to boost their output levels in the short run. Why? Saudi Arabia is pursuing plans to develop major offshore expansion projects to add an extra 1.15 million barrels per day (bpd) to its oil capacity by 2024,…

India confronts Saudi Arabia over crude oil prices

Fed up with the Saudi's "artificially jacking up the prices"

India confronts Saudi Arabia over crude oil pricesAn oil war is brewing between the world’s largest crude exporter, Saudi Arabia, and the world’s third-largest crude consumer, India. India has long pleaded with Saudi Arabia to keep oil prices lower to help sustain economic growth in the developing and emerging economies of Asia. In rather hushed tones, for diplomatic reasons, India has protested…

OPEC+ opens oil production taps after U.S pressure

With the continuing OPEC+ oil output cuts, markets were going into an overdrive mode. Prices at U.S. gas stations rose sharply

OPEC+ opens oil production taps after U.S pressureSurprising the markets and going against expectations, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies in the extended OPEC+ changed course at their ministerial meeting last week. At the virtual meeting, OPEC+ opted to increase its output by 350,000 barrels per day (bpd) in May another 350,000 bpd in June, and roughly an additional…

OPEC+ expected to continue to dampen oil output

Crude oil markets continue to show signs of weakness – even without the Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia and the Suez Canal closure

OPEC+ expected to continue to dampen oil outputPressure is mounting on the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies in the extended OPEC+ to roll over their crude oil output cuts when they meet on April 1. Markets continue to show signs of weakness – even without the Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia and the Suez Canal closure. But the Suez…

Oil market recovery may be on borrowed time

The recent spike in oil markets was engineered – fundamentals didn’t drive it. There were issues about the tight leash on output

Oil market recovery may be on borrowed timeThe oil market recovery is faltering. Uncertainty over the speed of an economic recovery and whether there will be a full rebound in global oil demand is holding back the markets. Stalled COVID-19 vaccination efforts in parts of the world and a strong dollar are also keeping the markets from rising much further. The recent…
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